With over 90% of election protocols counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, trader consensus gives Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú) a 63% implied probability of second place, up from pre-election polls where he trailed Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular). Sánchez surged ahead by roughly 25,000 votes in the past 48 hours as rural and delayed urban tallies came in, overcoming logistical failures that extended voting and slowed results. Keiko Fujimori leads first, positioning the second-place finisher for a June 7 runoff absent a majority. Fragmented field of 35 candidates keeps others negligible, with final certification pending.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiRoberto Sánchez Palomino 63.2%
Rafael López Aliaga 36%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,090,635 Hac.
$3,090,635 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
63%
Rafael López Aliaga
36%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 63.2%
Rafael López Aliaga 36%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,090,635 Hac.
$3,090,635 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$1,161,694 Hac.
63%
Rafael López Aliaga
$1,178,912 Hac.
36%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,170 Hac.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$79,025 Hac.
<1%
José Luna
$4,015 Hac.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$4,420 Hac.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$7,489 Hac.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$2,781 Hac.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$3,791 Hac.
<1%
George Forsyth
$3,359 Hac.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$2,378 Hac.
<1%
Jorge Nieto
$245,209 Hac.
<1%
César Acuña
$3,987 Hac.
<1%
José Williams
$3,845 Hac.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$188,761 Hac.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$111,497 Hac.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$51,602 Hac.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$3,316 Hac.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$2,934 Hac.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$3,589 Hac.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$12,619 Hac.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$4,628 Hac.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,241 Hac.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 90% of election protocols counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, trader consensus gives Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú) a 63% implied probability of second place, up from pre-election polls where he trailed Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular). Sánchez surged ahead by roughly 25,000 votes in the past 48 hours as rural and delayed urban tallies came in, overcoming logistical failures that extended voting and slowed results. Keiko Fujimori leads first, positioning the second-place finisher for a June 7 runoff absent a majority. Fragmented field of 35 candidates keeps others negligible, with final certification pending.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Hacim
$3,090,635Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 90% of election protocols counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, trader consensus gives Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú) a 63% implied probability of second place, up from pre-election polls where he trailed Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular). Sánchez surged ahead by roughly 25,000 votes in the past 48 hours as rural and delayed urban tallies came in, overcoming logistical failures that extended voting and slowed results. Keiko Fujimori leads first, positioning the second-place finisher for a June 7 runoff absent a majority. Fragmented field of 35 candidates keeps others negligible, with final certification pending.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Hacim
$3,090,635Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 90% of election protocols counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, trader consensus gives Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú) a 63% implied probability of second place, up from pre-election polls where he trailed Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular). Sánchez surged ahead by roughly 25,000 votes in the past 48 hours as rural and delayed urban tallies came in, overcoming logistical failures that extended voting and slowed results. Keiko Fujimori leads first, positioning the second-place finisher for a June 7 runoff absent a majority. Fragmented field of 35 candidates keeps others negligible, with final certification pending.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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