Logistical failures during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, including ballot shortages, software glitches, power outages, and delayed voting starts in Lima—necessitating a second-day extension for tens of thousands—have driven trader consensus toward 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability. These disruptions exacerbated voter discouragement amid a decade of political instability with eight presidents, contributing to apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. Historical first-round participation has declined from 83% in 2011 to 74% in 2021, aligning with current pricing below prior averages. Official turnout from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) is pending as actas processing continues, potentially confirming or shifting odds ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi%70-%75 83.7%
%75-%80 12%
%80-%85 3.7%
%70'in altında 3.2%
$126,196 Hac.
$126,196 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
%70'in altında
3%
%70-%75
84%
%75-%80
12%
%80-%85
4%
> %85
1%
%70-%75 83.7%
%75-%80 12%
%80-%85 3.7%
%70'in altında 3.2%
$126,196 Hac.
$126,196 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
%70'in altında
$18,854 Hac.
3%
%70-%75
$35,239 Hac.
84%
%75-%80
$19,558 Hac.
12%
%80-%85
$44,515 Hac.
4%
> %85
$8,030 Hac.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Logistical failures during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, including ballot shortages, software glitches, power outages, and delayed voting starts in Lima—necessitating a second-day extension for tens of thousands—have driven trader consensus toward 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability. These disruptions exacerbated voter discouragement amid a decade of political instability with eight presidents, contributing to apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. Historical first-round participation has declined from 83% in 2011 to 74% in 2021, aligning with current pricing below prior averages. Official turnout from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) is pending as actas processing continues, potentially confirming or shifting odds ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Hacim
$126,196Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Logistical failures during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, including ballot shortages, software glitches, power outages, and delayed voting starts in Lima—necessitating a second-day extension for tens of thousands—have driven trader consensus toward 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability. These disruptions exacerbated voter discouragement amid a decade of political instability with eight presidents, contributing to apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. Historical first-round participation has declined from 83% in 2011 to 74% in 2021, aligning with current pricing below prior averages. Official turnout from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) is pending as actas processing continues, potentially confirming or shifting odds ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Hacim
$126,196Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Logistical failures during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, including ballot shortages, software glitches, power outages, and delayed voting starts in Lima—necessitating a second-day extension for tens of thousands—have driven trader consensus toward 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability. These disruptions exacerbated voter discouragement amid a decade of political instability with eight presidents, contributing to apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. Historical first-round participation has declined from 83% in 2011 to 74% in 2021, aligning with current pricing below prior averages. Official turnout from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) is pending as actas processing continues, potentially confirming or shifting odds ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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