Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 85.3% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning with the 2021 rate of about 74% under compulsory voting despite growing voter apathy from a decade of instability and six presidents since 2018. Logistical chaos—ballot shortages delaying openings at 13% of Lima stations (30% of voters), power outages, and new software glitches—prompted a one-day extension, tempering higher bins while mitigating steeper drops; initial urban low participation was offset by rural turnout. A fragmented 35-candidate field with no frontrunner and high undecided voters (over 30% pre-election) reinforces mid-70s positioning, as ONPE finalizes delayed official figures ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi%70-%75 85.3%
%75-%80 8%
%80-%85 5.8%
%70'in altında 2.4%
$123,147 Hac.
$123,147 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
%70'in altında
2%
%70-%75
85%
%75-%80
8%
%80-%85
6%
> %85
1%
%70-%75 85.3%
%75-%80 8%
%80-%85 5.8%
%70'in altında 2.4%
$123,147 Hac.
$123,147 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
%70'in altında
$18,638 Hac.
2%
%70-%75
$35,045 Hac.
85%
%75-%80
$19,008 Hac.
8%
%80-%85
$42,624 Hac.
6%
> %85
$8,030 Hac.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 85.3% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning with the 2021 rate of about 74% under compulsory voting despite growing voter apathy from a decade of instability and six presidents since 2018. Logistical chaos—ballot shortages delaying openings at 13% of Lima stations (30% of voters), power outages, and new software glitches—prompted a one-day extension, tempering higher bins while mitigating steeper drops; initial urban low participation was offset by rural turnout. A fragmented 35-candidate field with no frontrunner and high undecided voters (over 30% pre-election) reinforces mid-70s positioning, as ONPE finalizes delayed official figures ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Hacim
$123,147Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 85.3% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning with the 2021 rate of about 74% under compulsory voting despite growing voter apathy from a decade of instability and six presidents since 2018. Logistical chaos—ballot shortages delaying openings at 13% of Lima stations (30% of voters), power outages, and new software glitches—prompted a one-day extension, tempering higher bins while mitigating steeper drops; initial urban low participation was offset by rural turnout. A fragmented 35-candidate field with no frontrunner and high undecided voters (over 30% pre-election) reinforces mid-70s positioning, as ONPE finalizes delayed official figures ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Hacim
$123,147Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 85.3% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning with the 2021 rate of about 74% under compulsory voting despite growing voter apathy from a decade of instability and six presidents since 2018. Logistical chaos—ballot shortages delaying openings at 13% of Lima stations (30% of voters), power outages, and new software glitches—prompted a one-day extension, tempering higher bins while mitigating steeper drops; initial urban low participation was offset by rural turnout. A fragmented 35-candidate field with no frontrunner and high undecided voters (over 30% pre-election) reinforces mid-70s positioning, as ONPE finalizes delayed official figures ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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