Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential winner, reflecting his incumbency advantage, top CPAC straw poll finish in late March, and recent book release signaling primary ambitions amid strong Republican early polling like HarrisX/Harvard's 46% GOP support. Newsom remains close as the Democratic frontrunner per prediction markets and state-level surveys, buoyed by national visibility despite California's challenges. Marco Rubio trails as a dark horse, boosted by his Secretary of State role and Trump endorsements. This tight race persists over two years from primaries due to uncertainty over the Trump administration's policy record and 2026 midterm outcomes, which could reshape party nominations and national turnout dynamics in swing states.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBaşkanlık Seçimi Kazananı 2028
Başkanlık Seçimi Kazananı 2028
JD Vance 19.1%
Gavin Newsom 17.1%
Marco Rubio 11.7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.0%
$529,497,678 Hac.
$529,497,678 Hac.

JD Vance
19%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Kamala Harris
4%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Ron DeSantis
1%

Andy Beshear
1%

JB Pritzker
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

James Talarico
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 19.1%
Gavin Newsom 17.1%
Marco Rubio 11.7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.0%
$529,497,678 Hac.
$529,497,678 Hac.

JD Vance
19%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Kamala Harris
4%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Ron DeSantis
1%

Andy Beshear
1%

JB Pritzker
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

James Talarico
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential winner, reflecting his incumbency advantage, top CPAC straw poll finish in late March, and recent book release signaling primary ambitions amid strong Republican early polling like HarrisX/Harvard's 46% GOP support. Newsom remains close as the Democratic frontrunner per prediction markets and state-level surveys, buoyed by national visibility despite California's challenges. Marco Rubio trails as a dark horse, boosted by his Secretary of State role and Trump endorsements. This tight race persists over two years from primaries due to uncertainty over the Trump administration's policy record and 2026 midterm outcomes, which could reshape party nominations and national turnout dynamics in swing states.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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