Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his continuity advantage in the Trump administration and recent CPAC straw poll dominance among Republicans, though new surveys show his GOP support eroding to 18-19% amid Newsom's gains in Democratic primary polls like New Hampshire and California. The fragmented field, with Senator Marco Rubio third at 11.7%, keeps probabilities tight pre-primaries, as no candidate has locked in endorsements or battleground state momentum. Head-to-head polls are mixed, with Newsom edging Vance in some matchups. Separation could emerge from 2026 midterm results boosting winners' paths-to-victory, official campaign launches, or shifts in swing state polling.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBaşkanlık Seçimi Kazananı 2028
Başkanlık Seçimi Kazananı 2028
JD Vance 18.6%
Gavin Newsom 17.3%
Marco Rubio 11.6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.1%
$530,431,786 Hac.
$530,431,786 Hac.

JD Vance
19%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Kamala Harris
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Ron DeSantis
1%

Andy Beshear
1%

JB Pritzker
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

James Talarico
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 18.6%
Gavin Newsom 17.3%
Marco Rubio 11.6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.1%
$530,431,786 Hac.
$530,431,786 Hac.

JD Vance
19%

Gavin Newsom
17%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Kamala Harris
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Josh Shapiro
2%

Donald Trump
2%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Ron DeSantis
1%

Andy Beshear
1%

JB Pritzker
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

James Talarico
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

LeBron James
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his continuity advantage in the Trump administration and recent CPAC straw poll dominance among Republicans, though new surveys show his GOP support eroding to 18-19% amid Newsom's gains in Democratic primary polls like New Hampshire and California. The fragmented field, with Senator Marco Rubio third at 11.7%, keeps probabilities tight pre-primaries, as no candidate has locked in endorsements or battleground state momentum. Head-to-head polls are mixed, with Newsom edging Vance in some matchups. Separation could emerge from 2026 midterm results boosting winners' paths-to-victory, official campaign launches, or shifts in swing state polling.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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