Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada that give PQ a 92% chance of leading despite recent polls showing vote intentions nearly tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at around 32-33% each among decided voters. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from efficient vote distribution in rural and Quebec City ridings, bolstered by recent by-election gains like Chicoutimi in February, while PLQ under new leader Charles Milliard has surged since February amid CAQ's collapse. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), reeling from François Legault's January resignation and despite Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, polls at 9-14%, projected for zero seats. Upcoming campaign dynamics among francophone voters and potential snap election risks could shift this closely contested race.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiQuebec Genel Seçim Galibi
Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi
PQ 55%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$424,638 Hac.
$424,638 Hac.
5 Eki 2026
PQ
55%
PLQ
37%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 55%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$424,638 Hac.
$424,638 Hac.
5 Eki 2026
PQ
$41,716 Hac.
55%
PLQ
$47,611 Hac.
37%
CAQ
$42,701 Hac.
9%
PCQ
$139,114 Hac.
<1%
PVQ
$105,358 Hac.
<1%
QS
$48,137 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada that give PQ a 92% chance of leading despite recent polls showing vote intentions nearly tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at around 32-33% each among decided voters. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from efficient vote distribution in rural and Quebec City ridings, bolstered by recent by-election gains like Chicoutimi in February, while PLQ under new leader Charles Milliard has surged since February amid CAQ's collapse. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), reeling from François Legault's January resignation and despite Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, polls at 9-14%, projected for zero seats. Upcoming campaign dynamics among francophone voters and potential snap election risks could shift this closely contested race.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Hacim
$424,638Bitiş Tarihi
5 Eki 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada that give PQ a 92% chance of leading despite recent polls showing vote intentions nearly tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at around 32-33% each among decided voters. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from efficient vote distribution in rural and Quebec City ridings, bolstered by recent by-election gains like Chicoutimi in February, while PLQ under new leader Charles Milliard has surged since February amid CAQ's collapse. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), reeling from François Legault's January resignation and despite Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, polls at 9-14%, projected for zero seats. Upcoming campaign dynamics among francophone voters and potential snap election risks could shift this closely contested race.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Hacim
$424,638Bitiş Tarihi
5 Eki 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada that give PQ a 92% chance of leading despite recent polls showing vote intentions nearly tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at around 32-33% each among decided voters. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from efficient vote distribution in rural and Quebec City ridings, bolstered by recent by-election gains like Chicoutimi in February, while PLQ under new leader Charles Milliard has surged since February amid CAQ's collapse. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), reeling from François Legault's January resignation and despite Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, polls at 9-14%, projected for zero seats. Upcoming campaign dynamics among francophone voters and potential snap election risks could shift this closely contested race.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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