Trader consensus favors HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-profile Make America Healthy Again reforms and enduring appeal from his 2024 Trump endorsement, positioning him as a populist outsider despite lacking formal GOP ties. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38% as the MAGA heir apparent, bolstered by topping the late-March CPAC straw poll (53%) and April Yale Youth Poll (43%), reflecting incumbency and base loyalty. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share stems from a mid-March "Draft Rubio" push by GOP donors amid his elevated Iran diplomacy role, challenging Vance in a contested early primary field ahead of 2026 midterms.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiCumhuriyetçi Başkan Adayı 2028
Cumhuriyetçi Başkan Adayı 2028
J.D. Vance 38.3%
Marco Rubio 20.9%
Tucker Carlson 4.7%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$558,898,273 Hac.
$558,898,273 Hac.
7 Kas 2028
%4 Kazan
J.D. Vance
38%
Marco Rubio
21%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Thomas Massie
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Rand Paul
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Brian Kemp
1%
Josh Hawley
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
J.D. Vance 38.3%
Marco Rubio 20.9%
Tucker Carlson 4.7%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$558,898,273 Hac.
$558,898,273 Hac.
7 Kas 2028
%4 Kazan
J.D. Vance
$12,078,124 Hac.
38%
Marco Rubio
$7,865,040 Hac.
21%
Tucker Carlson
$10,250,178 Hac.
5%
Ron DeSantis
$12,464,235 Hac.
3%
Donald Trump
$7,168,277 Hac.
2%
Thomas Massie
$3,229,562 Hac.
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
$6,613,852 Hac.
2%
Glenn Youngkin
$6,315,350 Hac.
1%
Rand Paul
$16,981,409 Hac.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
$11,270,358 Hac.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$13,641,990 Hac.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$6,204,384 Hac.
1%
Elon Musk
$26,708,026 Hac.
1%
Ted Cruz
$15,210,359 Hac.
1%
Nikki Haley
$8,019,277 Hac.
1%
Greg Abbott
$17,896,493 Hac.
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$4,468,268 Hac.
1%
Brian Kemp
$14,203,596 Hac.
1%
Josh Hawley
$17,515,358 Hac.
1%
Matt Gaetz
$16,526,582 Hac.
1%
Eric Trump
$5,155,498 Hac.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$28,960,600 Hac.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$12,511,218 Hac.
1%
Katie Britt
$25,468,203 Hac.
1%
Joe Kent
$3,638,056 Hac.
1%
Tom Brady
$29,276,404 Hac.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$25,245,137 Hac.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$3,595,265 Hac.
1%
Byron Donalds
$36,231,515 Hac.
1%
Elise Stefanik
$23,172,713 Hac.
1%
Erika Kirk
$14,213,641 Hac.
1%
John Thune
$30,966,388 Hac.
1%
Kristi Noem
$30,381,006 Hac.
1%
Mike Pence
$38,544,761 Hac.
1%
Steve Bannon
$16,916,743 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-profile Make America Healthy Again reforms and enduring appeal from his 2024 Trump endorsement, positioning him as a populist outsider despite lacking formal GOP ties. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38% as the MAGA heir apparent, bolstered by topping the late-March CPAC straw poll (53%) and April Yale Youth Poll (43%), reflecting incumbency and base loyalty. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share stems from a mid-March "Draft Rubio" push by GOP donors amid his elevated Iran diplomacy role, challenging Vance in a contested early primary field ahead of 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Hacim
$558,898,273Bitiş Tarihi
7 Kas 2028Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-profile Make America Healthy Again reforms and enduring appeal from his 2024 Trump endorsement, positioning him as a populist outsider despite lacking formal GOP ties. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38% as the MAGA heir apparent, bolstered by topping the late-March CPAC straw poll (53%) and April Yale Youth Poll (43%), reflecting incumbency and base loyalty. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share stems from a mid-March "Draft Rubio" push by GOP donors amid his elevated Iran diplomacy role, challenging Vance in a contested early primary field ahead of 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$558,898,273Bitiş Tarihi
7 Kas 2028Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus favors HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high-profile Make America Healthy Again reforms and enduring appeal from his 2024 Trump endorsement, positioning him as a populist outsider despite lacking formal GOP ties. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38% as the MAGA heir apparent, bolstered by topping the late-March CPAC straw poll (53%) and April Yale Youth Poll (43%), reflecting incumbency and base loyalty. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% share stems from a mid-March "Draft Rubio" push by GOP donors amid his elevated Iran diplomacy role, challenging Vance in a contested early primary field ahead of 2026 midterms.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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