United Russia commands 96.8% trader consensus to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantage in the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies, where it holds 315 seats from 2021. Recent polls, including FOM (52.2% on April 5) and WCIOM (38.2%), show United Russia leading systemic opposition like LDPR, KPRF, and New People by wide margins, bolstered by Kremlin preparations such as party centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, redistricting, and propaganda emphasizing social initiatives amid economic pressures. Minor anti-war bids from Yabloko and independents like Boris Nadezhdin face registration barriers and repression. Scenarios challenging this include a major scandal, war escalation backlash, or voting irregularities sparking unrest, though structural controls make upsets improbable.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBirleşik Rusya (ER) 96.8%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF) <1%
Sivil Platform (GP) <1%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL) <1%
$924,703 Hac.
$924,703 Hac.
30 Eyl 2026
Birleşik Rusya (ER)
97%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF)
1%
Sivil Platform (GP)
1%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL)
1%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR)
1%
Birleşik Rusya – Gerçek İçin Adalet (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Birleşik Rusya (ER) 96.8%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF) <1%
Sivil Platform (GP) <1%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL) <1%
$924,703 Hac.
$924,703 Hac.
30 Eyl 2026
Birleşik Rusya (ER)
$472,394 Hac.
97%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF)
$77,513 Hac.
1%
Sivil Platform (GP)
$80,153 Hac.
1%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL)
$53,766 Hac.
1%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR)
$31,711 Hac.
1%
Birleşik Rusya – Gerçek İçin Adalet (SRZP)
$133,959 Hac.
1%
Rodina
$75,205 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia commands 96.8% trader consensus to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantage in the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies, where it holds 315 seats from 2021. Recent polls, including FOM (52.2% on April 5) and WCIOM (38.2%), show United Russia leading systemic opposition like LDPR, KPRF, and New People by wide margins, bolstered by Kremlin preparations such as party centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, redistricting, and propaganda emphasizing social initiatives amid economic pressures. Minor anti-war bids from Yabloko and independents like Boris Nadezhdin face registration barriers and repression. Scenarios challenging this include a major scandal, war escalation backlash, or voting irregularities sparking unrest, though structural controls make upsets improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Hacim
$924,703Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia commands 96.8% trader consensus to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantage in the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies, where it holds 315 seats from 2021. Recent polls, including FOM (52.2% on April 5) and WCIOM (38.2%), show United Russia leading systemic opposition like LDPR, KPRF, and New People by wide margins, bolstered by Kremlin preparations such as party centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, redistricting, and propaganda emphasizing social initiatives amid economic pressures. Minor anti-war bids from Yabloko and independents like Boris Nadezhdin face registration barriers and repression. Scenarios challenging this include a major scandal, war escalation backlash, or voting irregularities sparking unrest, though structural controls make upsets improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Hacim
$924,703Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia commands 96.8% trader consensus to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantage in the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies, where it holds 315 seats from 2021. Recent polls, including FOM (52.2% on April 5) and WCIOM (38.2%), show United Russia leading systemic opposition like LDPR, KPRF, and New People by wide margins, bolstered by Kremlin preparations such as party centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, redistricting, and propaganda emphasizing social initiatives amid economic pressures. Minor anti-war bids from Yabloko and independents like Boris Nadezhdin face registration barriers and repression. Scenarios challenging this include a major scandal, war escalation backlash, or voting irregularities sparking unrest, though structural controls make upsets improbable.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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