Trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 87% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 26%—and a recent Ipsos Ciesmori poll for Unitel showing Velasco ahead 44% to 35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. Conducted April 3-9 and released April 12 ahead of a televised debate, the survey highlights Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities versus Ritter's rural edge, positioning Velasco to consolidate support from eliminated candidates like Luis Fernando Camacho. The April 19 runoff in this opposition stronghold remains competitive, but recent polling momentum reflects traders' assessment of Velasco's path to a majority.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiJuan Pablo Velasco 86.9%
Otto Ritter 13.1%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$799,469 Hac.
$799,469 Hac.
Juan Pablo Velasco
87%
Otto Ritter
13%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
Juan Pablo Velasco 86.9%
Otto Ritter 13.1%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$799,469 Hac.
$799,469 Hac.
Juan Pablo Velasco
87%
Otto Ritter
13%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 87% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 26%—and a recent Ipsos Ciesmori poll for Unitel showing Velasco ahead 44% to 35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. Conducted April 3-9 and released April 12 ahead of a televised debate, the survey highlights Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities versus Ritter's rural edge, positioning Velasco to consolidate support from eliminated candidates like Luis Fernando Camacho. The April 19 runoff in this opposition stronghold remains competitive, but recent polling momentum reflects traders' assessment of Velasco's path to a majority.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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