Juan Pablo Velasco leads trader consensus at 81% implied probability for the Santa Cruz governorship ahead of the April 19 runoff, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos/Ciesmori poll showing an 8.9% edge over Otto Ritter with 15% undecided voters. Velasco's Libre alliance capitalized on fragmented opposition votes, including those of imprisoned former governor Luis Fernando Camacho, while Ritter's Santa Cruz Para Todos trails despite strong showings in debates highlighting policy contrasts on development and autonomy. No outright winner emerged in the initial subnational elections, propelling this closely watched balotaje in Bolivia's richest department, where undecideds and endorsements could still sway the outcome.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiJuan Pablo Velasco 81.3%
Otto Ritter 15.6%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$799,061 Hac.
$799,061 Hac.
Juan Pablo Velasco
81%
Otto Ritter
16%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
Juan Pablo Velasco 81.3%
Otto Ritter 15.6%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$799,061 Hac.
$799,061 Hac.
Juan Pablo Velasco
81%
Otto Ritter
16%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juan Pablo Velasco leads trader consensus at 81% implied probability for the Santa Cruz governorship ahead of the April 19 runoff, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos/Ciesmori poll showing an 8.9% edge over Otto Ritter with 15% undecided voters. Velasco's Libre alliance capitalized on fragmented opposition votes, including those of imprisoned former governor Luis Fernando Camacho, while Ritter's Santa Cruz Para Todos trails despite strong showings in debates highlighting policy contrasts on development and autonomy. No outright winner emerged in the initial subnational elections, propelling this closely watched balotaje in Bolivia's richest department, where undecideds and endorsements could still sway the outcome.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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