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Seçimler·Dünya Seçimleri

Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı

Market icon
Seçimler·Dünya Seçimleri

Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı

2027'den önce seçim yok 74%

Kulmiye 14.8%

Adalet ve Refah (UCID) 13.8%

Waddani 1.3%

Polymarket

$16,283 Hac.

2027'den önce seçim yok 74%

Kulmiye 14.8%

Adalet ve Refah (UCID) 13.8%

Waddani 1.3%

Polymarket

$16,283 Hac.

2027'den önce Somaliland parlamento seçimi olmayacak mı? icon

2027'den önce seçim yok

$8,480 Hac.

74%

Kulmiye Partisi (Barış, Birlik ve Kalkınma Partisi) bir sonraki Somaliland parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Kulmiye

$2,187 Hac.

15%

Adalet ve Refah Partisi (UCID) bir sonraki Somaliland parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Adalet ve Refah (UCID)

$3,751 Hac.

14%

Waddani Partisi (Somaliland Ulusal Partisi) bir sonraki Somaliland parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Waddani

$1,865 Hac.

1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, reflecting the National Electoral Commission's (NEC) February 2026 announcement postponing polls from May 2026 to March 2027 due to severe drought, security threats in eastern regions, and insufficient logistical preparations including voter registration delays. This decision, despite President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's (Waddani) public emphasis on timely voting to preserve democratic credibility, has eroded public trust amid recent reports of broken promises, a G+1 corruption scandal, and rising clan patronage. Among parties, former ruling Kulmiye (14.8%) and UCID (13.7%) lead implied seat projections based on historical performance in House of Representatives contests, while incumbent Waddani lags at 1.2% amid governance critiques; traders await NEC updates or potential legal challenges ahead of the new timeline.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.

If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".

If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Hacim
$16,283
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Mar 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, reflecting the National Electoral Commission's (NEC) February 2026 announcement postponing polls from May 2026 to March 2027 due to severe drought, security threats in eastern regions, and insufficient logistical preparations including voter registration delays. This decision, despite President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's (Waddani) public emphasis on timely voting to preserve democratic credibility, has eroded public trust amid recent reports of broken promises, a G+1 corruption scandal, and rising clan patronage. Among parties, former ruling Kulmiye (14.8%) and UCID (13.7%) lead implied seat projections based on historical performance in House of Representatives contests, while incumbent Waddani lags at 1.2% amid governance critiques; traders await NEC updates or potential legal challenges ahead of the new timeline.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.

If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".

If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Hacim
$16,283
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Mar 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 74% ile "2027'den önce seçim yok", ardından 15% ile "Kulmiye" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 74¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 74% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" toplam $16.3K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 16, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için mevcut favori 74% ile "2027'den önce seçim yok"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 74% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 15% ile "Kulmiye"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Somaliland Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.