Recent opinion polls through early April 2026, including Verian (32.7% S), Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), and Demoskop (31.1% S), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) maintaining a commanding 13-16 point lead over challengers like the Moderate Party (M) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% in some surveys, driving trader consensus to price S at 88.5% implied probability for most seats in the September 13 Riksdag election under proportional representation. This reflects S's steady opposition strength against the Tidö government (M, KD, L backed by SD), with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid economic pressures and policy debates. While blocs like red-greens (S, V, MP, C) eye a majority, an S collapse would require unprecedented polling reversals before summer campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı
İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı
İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S) 89%
Ilımlı Parti (M) 5.5%
İsveç Demokratları (SD) 4.9%
Yeşiller Partisi (MP) <1%
$1,085,211 Hac.
$1,085,211 Hac.
13 Eyl 2026
İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S)
89%
Ilımlı Parti (M)
6%
İsveç Demokratları (SD)
5%
Yeşiller Partisi (MP)
1%
Sol Parti (V)
<1%
Vatandaşlar Koalisyonu (MED)
<1%
Merkez Parti (C)
<1%
Hristiyan Demokratlar (KD)
<1%
Liberal Parti (L)
<1%
İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S) 89%
Ilımlı Parti (M) 5.5%
İsveç Demokratları (SD) 4.9%
Yeşiller Partisi (MP) <1%
$1,085,211 Hac.
$1,085,211 Hac.
13 Eyl 2026
İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S)
$31,681 Hac.
89%
Ilımlı Parti (M)
$377,273 Hac.
6%
İsveç Demokratları (SD)
$509,329 Hac.
5%
Yeşiller Partisi (MP)
$93,229 Hac.
1%
Sol Parti (V)
$14,895 Hac.
<1%
Vatandaşlar Koalisyonu (MED)
$13,438 Hac.
<1%
Merkez Parti (C)
$16,456 Hac.
<1%
Hristiyan Demokratlar (KD)
$14,382 Hac.
<1%
Liberal Parti (L)
$14,529 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls through early April 2026, including Verian (32.7% S), Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), and Demoskop (31.1% S), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) maintaining a commanding 13-16 point lead over challengers like the Moderate Party (M) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% in some surveys, driving trader consensus to price S at 88.5% implied probability for most seats in the September 13 Riksdag election under proportional representation. This reflects S's steady opposition strength against the Tidö government (M, KD, L backed by SD), with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid economic pressures and policy debates. While blocs like red-greens (S, V, MP, C) eye a majority, an S collapse would require unprecedented polling reversals before summer campaigning intensifies.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Hacim
$1,085,211Bitiş Tarihi
13 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls through early April 2026, including Verian (32.7% S), Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), and Demoskop (31.1% S), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) maintaining a commanding 13-16 point lead over challengers like the Moderate Party (M) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% in some surveys, driving trader consensus to price S at 88.5% implied probability for most seats in the September 13 Riksdag election under proportional representation. This reflects S's steady opposition strength against the Tidö government (M, KD, L backed by SD), with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid economic pressures and policy debates. While blocs like red-greens (S, V, MP, C) eye a majority, an S collapse would require unprecedented polling reversals before summer campaigning intensifies.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Hacim
$1,085,211Bitiş Tarihi
13 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls through early April 2026, including Verian (32.7% S), Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), and Demoskop (31.1% S), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) maintaining a commanding 13-16 point lead over challengers like the Moderate Party (M) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% in some surveys, driving trader consensus to price S at 88.5% implied probability for most seats in the September 13 Riksdag election under proportional representation. This reflects S's steady opposition strength against the Tidö government (M, KD, L backed by SD), with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid economic pressures and policy debates. While blocs like red-greens (S, V, MP, C) eye a majority, an S collapse would require unprecedented polling reversals before summer campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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