In the open-seat TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 90.1% implied probability, reflecting his plurality victory in the March 3 first-round balloting—leading a crowded seven-candidate field—and subsequent consolidation of support through endorsements from several dropped rivals, including State Representative Carl Tepper. A recent internal poll from Sell's campaign shows him ahead 57%-17% in a head-to-head matchup against Abraham Enriquez, amplified by a damaging April exposé accusing Enriquez of donor irregularities and inconsistent Trump alignment. Enriquez retains 8.3% odds amid his national conservative appeals, but barriers like Sell's fundraising edge and local West Texas agricultural backing dominate. Upsets could stem from a high-profile endorsement for Enriquez or unforeseen scandal hitting Sell before early voting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTom Sell 90.1%
Abraham Enriquez 8.3%
Ryan Zink <1%
Matthew Smith <1%
$66,904 Hac.
$66,904 Hac.
Tom Sell
90%
Abraham Enriquez
8%
Ryan Zink
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Tom Sell 90.1%
Abraham Enriquez 8.3%
Ryan Zink <1%
Matthew Smith <1%
$66,904 Hac.
$66,904 Hac.
Tom Sell
90%
Abraham Enriquez
8%
Ryan Zink
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open-seat TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 90.1% implied probability, reflecting his plurality victory in the March 3 first-round balloting—leading a crowded seven-candidate field—and subsequent consolidation of support through endorsements from several dropped rivals, including State Representative Carl Tepper. A recent internal poll from Sell's campaign shows him ahead 57%-17% in a head-to-head matchup against Abraham Enriquez, amplified by a damaging April exposé accusing Enriquez of donor irregularities and inconsistent Trump alignment. Enriquez retains 8.3% odds amid his national conservative appeals, but barriers like Sell's fundraising edge and local West Texas agricultural backing dominate. Upsets could stem from a high-profile endorsement for Enriquez or unforeseen scandal hitting Sell before early voting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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