Amid an expiring ceasefire and U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed April 14, indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators advanced April 15–16, building on the first direct U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad April 11–12 led by Vice President JD Vance, which lasted 21 hours but yielded no agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, or permanent peace terms. President Trump expressed optimism for a second round possibly within days, as the White House cited "positive signals" and ongoing exchanges of proposals. Key factors include mediation by Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman; blockade pressures; and the ceasefire's looming end around April 22, with traders weighing diplomatic momentum against escalation risks in this rare high-level engagement after decades of indirect diplomacy.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiABD x İran diplomatik toplantısı...?
ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısı...?
$1,126,736 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
16 Nisan
1%
17 Nisan
5%
18 Nisan
11%
22 Nisan
70%
30 Nisan
89%
$1,126,736 Hac.
16 Nisan
$92,927 Hac.
1%
17 Nisan
$46,530 Hac.
5%
18 Nisan
$571,204 Hac.
11%
22 Nisan
$230,592 Hac.
70%
30 Nisan
$118,438 Hac.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid an expiring ceasefire and U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed April 14, indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators advanced April 15–16, building on the first direct U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad April 11–12 led by Vice President JD Vance, which lasted 21 hours but yielded no agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, or permanent peace terms. President Trump expressed optimism for a second round possibly within days, as the White House cited "positive signals" and ongoing exchanges of proposals. Key factors include mediation by Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman; blockade pressures; and the ceasefire's looming end around April 22, with traders weighing diplomatic momentum against escalation risks in this rare high-level engagement after decades of indirect diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Hacim
$1,126,736Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid an expiring ceasefire and U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed April 14, indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators advanced April 15–16, building on the first direct U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad April 11–12 led by Vice President JD Vance, which lasted 21 hours but yielded no agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, or permanent peace terms. President Trump expressed optimism for a second round possibly within days, as the White House cited "positive signals" and ongoing exchanges of proposals. Key factors include mediation by Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman; blockade pressures; and the ceasefire's looming end around April 22, with traders weighing diplomatic momentum against escalation risks in this rare high-level engagement after decades of indirect diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$1,126,736Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid an expiring ceasefire and U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed April 14, indirect negotiations via Pakistani mediators advanced April 15–16, building on the first direct U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad April 11–12 led by Vice President JD Vance, which lasted 21 hours but yielded no agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, or permanent peace terms. President Trump expressed optimism for a second round possibly within days, as the White House cited "positive signals" and ongoing exchanges of proposals. Key factors include mediation by Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman; blockade pressures; and the ceasefire's looming end around April 22, with traders weighing diplomatic momentum against escalation risks in this rare high-level engagement after decades of indirect diplomacy.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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