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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 86%

James Osyf 7.3%

Matt Strickler 4.0%

Burk Stringfellow 3.9%

Polymarket
YENİ

Elaine Luria 86%

James Osyf 7.3%

Matt Strickler 4.0%

Burk Stringfellow 3.9%

Polymarket
YENİ

Elaine Luria

$1,213 Hac.

86%

James Osyf

$1,097 Hac.

7%

Matt Strickler

$0 Hac.

4%

Burk Stringfellow

$0 Hac.

4%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,509 Hac.

2%

Nila Devanath

$794 Hac.

1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$0 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria leads trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, bolstered by her strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul exceeding $1.75 million with over $2 million cash on hand, outpacing rivals and the Republican incumbent. Her prior tenure representing the district, narrow 2022 loss, Navy veteran background, and recent DCCC inclusion on the Red to Blue target list in February signal party establishment preference amid efforts to flip the competitive seat. James Osyf trails at 7.4% following his brief December 2025 suspension and resumption, while Matt Strickler and Burk Stringfellow share 4% each amid limited resources for challengers; no public polls exist, leaving room for debates or endorsements to shift dynamics before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$4,613
Bitiş Tarihi
16 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria leads trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, bolstered by her strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul exceeding $1.75 million with over $2 million cash on hand, outpacing rivals and the Republican incumbent. Her prior tenure representing the district, narrow 2022 loss, Navy veteran background, and recent DCCC inclusion on the Red to Blue target list in February signal party establishment preference amid efforts to flip the competitive seat. James Osyf trails at 7.4% following his brief December 2025 suspension and resumption, while Matt Strickler and Burk Stringfellow share 4% each amid limited resources for challengers; no public polls exist, leaving room for debates or endorsements to shift dynamics before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$4,613
Bitiş Tarihi
16 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 7 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 86% ile "Elaine Luria", ardından 7% ile "James Osyf" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 86¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 86% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Nov 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 7 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 86% ile "Elaine Luria"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 86% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 7% ile "James Osyf"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.