Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead with 17% of votes tallied at over 93% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, per ONPE official results, positioning her for the June 7 runoff alongside a tight race for second between Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino, both near 12%. Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 61% implied probability due to Sánchez's late surge in urban and leftist-leaning tallies over the past 48 hours, amid initial counts favoring López Aliaga, while the López Aliaga-Fujimori duo trades at 38% reflecting pre-election polling frontrunners in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Logistical delays, fraud claims by López Aliaga without evidence, and protests have heightened uncertainty, with remaining rural ballots key to finalizing the top two advancers.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDiğer 61.0%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$993,353 Hac.
$993,353 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Diğer
61%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
39%
Fujimori & Nieto
1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Diğer 61.0%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$993,353 Hac.
$993,353 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Diğer
$251,939 Hac.
61%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$329,762 Hac.
39%
Fujimori & Nieto
$199,100 Hac.
1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$24,017 Hac.
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
$32,793 Hac.
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
$67,800 Hac.
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
$16,487 Hac.
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$24,264 Hac.
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
$37,670 Hac.
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$9,953 Hac.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead with 17% of votes tallied at over 93% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, per ONPE official results, positioning her for the June 7 runoff alongside a tight race for second between Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino, both near 12%. Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 61% implied probability due to Sánchez's late surge in urban and leftist-leaning tallies over the past 48 hours, amid initial counts favoring López Aliaga, while the López Aliaga-Fujimori duo trades at 38% reflecting pre-election polling frontrunners in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Logistical delays, fraud claims by López Aliaga without evidence, and protests have heightened uncertainty, with remaining rural ballots key to finalizing the top two advancers.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Hacim
$993,353Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead with 17% of votes tallied at over 93% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, per ONPE official results, positioning her for the June 7 runoff alongside a tight race for second between Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino, both near 12%. Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 61% implied probability due to Sánchez's late surge in urban and leftist-leaning tallies over the past 48 hours, amid initial counts favoring López Aliaga, while the López Aliaga-Fujimori duo trades at 38% reflecting pre-election polling frontrunners in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Logistical delays, fraud claims by López Aliaga without evidence, and protests have heightened uncertainty, with remaining rural ballots key to finalizing the top two advancers.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Hacim
$993,353Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead with 17% of votes tallied at over 93% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, per ONPE official results, positioning her for the June 7 runoff alongside a tight race for second between Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino, both near 12%. Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 61% implied probability due to Sánchez's late surge in urban and leftist-leaning tallies over the past 48 hours, amid initial counts favoring López Aliaga, while the López Aliaga-Fujimori duo trades at 38% reflecting pre-election polling frontrunners in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Logistical delays, fraud claims by López Aliaga without evidence, and protests have heightened uncertainty, with remaining rural ballots key to finalizing the top two advancers.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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