Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 315 current seats, strong Kremlin backing, and consistent polling leads of 30-40% in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys amid ongoing primaries and redistricting that bolsters urban strongholds. New People, holding just 15 seats, commands 29.5% implied odds due to sustained poll surges to 12.3% in early April VCIOM data—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for the third straight month—fueled by permitted opposition appeals on tech issues and economic discontent, positioning it for proportional representation and single-member district breakthroughs above the 5% threshold. LDPR's 5.1% reflects stable but stagnant mid-teens support, while systemic parties trail amid fragmentation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiRusya Parlamento Seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi hangi parti kazanacak?
Rusya Parlamento Seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi hangi parti kazanacak?
Birleşik Rusya (ER) 65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL) 29.5%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR) 5.1%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF) <1%
$5,488,597 Hac.
$5,488,597 Hac.
30 Eyl 2026
Birleşik Rusya (ER)
65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL)
30%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR)
5%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF)
<1%
Adalet İçin Rusya – Gerçek İçin (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Vatandaş Platformu (GP)
<1%
Birleşik Rusya (ER) 65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL) 29.5%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR) 5.1%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF) <1%
$5,488,597 Hac.
$5,488,597 Hac.
30 Eyl 2026
Birleşik Rusya (ER)
$1,510,693 Hac.
65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL)
$496,170 Hac.
30%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR)
$2,130,604 Hac.
5%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF)
$367,790 Hac.
<1%
Adalet İçin Rusya – Gerçek İçin (SRZP)
$330,324 Hac.
<1%
Rodina
$363,054 Hac.
<1%
Vatandaş Platformu (GP)
$289,963 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 315 current seats, strong Kremlin backing, and consistent polling leads of 30-40% in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys amid ongoing primaries and redistricting that bolsters urban strongholds. New People, holding just 15 seats, commands 29.5% implied odds due to sustained poll surges to 12.3% in early April VCIOM data—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for the third straight month—fueled by permitted opposition appeals on tech issues and economic discontent, positioning it for proportional representation and single-member district breakthroughs above the 5% threshold. LDPR's 5.1% reflects stable but stagnant mid-teens support, while systemic parties trail amid fragmentation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Hacim
$5,488,597Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 315 current seats, strong Kremlin backing, and consistent polling leads of 30-40% in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys amid ongoing primaries and redistricting that bolsters urban strongholds. New People, holding just 15 seats, commands 29.5% implied odds due to sustained poll surges to 12.3% in early April VCIOM data—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for the third straight month—fueled by permitted opposition appeals on tech issues and economic discontent, positioning it for proportional representation and single-member district breakthroughs above the 5% threshold. LDPR's 5.1% reflects stable but stagnant mid-teens support, while systemic parties trail amid fragmentation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Hacim
$5,488,597Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 315 current seats, strong Kremlin backing, and consistent polling leads of 30-40% in recent FOM and VCIOM surveys amid ongoing primaries and redistricting that bolsters urban strongholds. New People, holding just 15 seats, commands 29.5% implied odds due to sustained poll surges to 12.3% in early April VCIOM data—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for the third straight month—fueled by permitted opposition appeals on tech issues and economic discontent, positioning it for proportional representation and single-member district breakthroughs above the 5% threshold. LDPR's 5.1% reflects stable but stagnant mid-teens support, while systemic parties trail amid fragmentation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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