Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiRusya Parlamento Seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi hangi parti kazanacak?
Rusya Parlamento Seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi hangi parti kazanacak?
Birleşik Rusya (ER) 65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL) 29.9%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR) 5.1%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF) <1%
$5,486,461 Hac.
$5,486,461 Hac.
30 Eyl 2026
Birleşik Rusya (ER)
65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL)
30%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR)
5%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF)
<1%
Adalet İçin Rusya – Gerçek İçin (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Vatandaş Platformu (GP)
<1%
Birleşik Rusya (ER) 65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL) 29.9%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR) 5.1%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF) <1%
$5,486,461 Hac.
$5,486,461 Hac.
30 Eyl 2026
Birleşik Rusya (ER)
$1,509,822 Hac.
65%
Yeni İnsanlar (NL)
$495,961 Hac.
30%
Rusya Liberal Demokrat Partisi (LDPR)
$2,130,466 Hac.
5%
Rusya Federasyonu Komünist Partisi (KPRF)
$367,652 Hac.
<1%
Adalet İçin Rusya – Gerçek İçin (SRZP)
$330,186 Hac.
<1%
Rodina
$362,566 Hac.
<1%
Vatandaş Platformu (GP)
$289,809 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Hacim
$5,486,461Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Hacim
$5,486,461Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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