Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiLaura Gillen 61%
Nicholas Sciretta 14%
Taylor Darling 5.2%
Gian Jones <1%
$15,361 Hac.
$15,361 Hac.
23 Haz 2026
Laura Gillen
71%
Nicholas Sciretta
14%
Taylor Darling
5%
Gian Jones
<1%
Laura Gillen 61%
Nicholas Sciretta 14%
Taylor Darling 5.2%
Gian Jones <1%
$15,361 Hac.
$15,361 Hac.
23 Haz 2026
Laura Gillen
$4,551 Hac.
71%
Nicholas Sciretta
$7,209 Hac.
14%
Taylor Darling
$2,016 Hac.
5%
Gian Jones
$1,586 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
Hacim
$15,361Bitiş Tarihi
23 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$15,361Bitiş Tarihi
23 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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