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Siyaset·Birincil Seçimler

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·Birincil Seçimler

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Cait Conley 48%

Beth Davidson 38%

Effie Phillips-Staley 10.9%

Mike Sacks 1.6%

Polymarket

$55,923 Hac.

Cait Conley 48%

Beth Davidson 38%

Effie Phillips-Staley 10.9%

Mike Sacks 1.6%

Polymarket

$55,923 Hac.

Cait Conley

$25,931 Hac.

48%

Beth Davidson

$22,378 Hac.

38%

Effie Phillips-Staley

$863 Hac.

19%

Mike Sacks

$908 Hac.

2%

John Sullivan

$1,158 Hac.

1%

John Cappello

$706 Hac.

1%

Peter Chatzky

$3,195 Hac.

1%

Jessica Reinmann

$785 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary slightly favors Cait Conley at 46% implied probability over Beth Davidson's 39.5%, reflecting her national security veteran background and endorsements from groups like New Dems and VoteVets, positioning her as a stronger general election matchup against incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in this swing district. A March poll showed Davidson leading by six points with superior name recognition among primary voters, but the April 9 debate among the top three contenders—Conley, Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley—remained mostly cordial without major separations, sustaining the tight race. With early voting starting June 13 ahead of the June 23 primary, new polls, fundraising disclosures, or high-profile endorsements could tip the balance in this closely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$55,923
Bitiş Tarihi
23 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary slightly favors Cait Conley at 46% implied probability over Beth Davidson's 39.5%, reflecting her national security veteran background and endorsements from groups like New Dems and VoteVets, positioning her as a stronger general election matchup against incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in this swing district. A March poll showed Davidson leading by six points with superior name recognition among primary voters, but the April 9 debate among the top three contenders—Conley, Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley—remained mostly cordial without major separations, sustaining the tight race. With early voting starting June 13 ahead of the June 23 primary, new polls, fundraising disclosures, or high-profile endorsements could tip the balance in this closely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$55,923
Bitiş Tarihi
23 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 8 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 48% ile "Cait Conley", ardından 38% ile "Beth Davidson" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 48¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 48% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" toplam $55.9K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 8 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 48% ile "Cait Conley"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 48% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 38% ile "Beth Davidson"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.