Trump administration turnover has accelerated in recent weeks, with Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid performance concerns, acting ICE Director Todd Lyons announcing his resignation effective May 31 after overseeing mass deportations, and earlier DHS Secretary Kristi Noem fired in March over immigration enforcement criticisms. Brookings data shows 32% turnover among top Executive Office roles as of mid-April, driven by policy frictions, internal clashes like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's demands prompting senior Army resignations, and execution pressures. Traders weigh historical patterns of high personnel churn against midterm election dynamics and budget hearings, which could spur additional cabinet shifts before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$982,558 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
78%
Kash Patel
59%
Kristi Noem
55%
Tulsi Gabbard
53%
Howard Lutnick
49%
Karoline Leavitt
46%
Pete Hegseth
43%
Tom Homan
32%
Lee Zeldin
39%
David Sacks
37%
Susie Wiles
35%
Dan Scavino
34%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
29%
John Ratcliffe
28%
Stephen Miller
23%
Scott Bessent
16%
Marco Rubio
16%
Russell Vought
26%
$982,558 Hac.
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$4,199 Hac.
78%
Kash Patel
$198,274 Hac.
59%
Kristi Noem
$86,924 Hac.
55%
Tulsi Gabbard
$47,408 Hac.
53%
Howard Lutnick
$58,200 Hac.
49%
Karoline Leavitt
$16,152 Hac.
46%
Pete Hegseth
$57,194 Hac.
43%
Tom Homan
$58 Hac.
32%
Lee Zeldin
$26,454 Hac.
39%
David Sacks
$6,999 Hac.
37%
Susie Wiles
$41,321 Hac.
35%
Dan Scavino
$31 Hac.
34%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$63,949 Hac.
29%
John Ratcliffe
$0 Hac.
28%
Stephen Miller
$810 Hac.
23%
Scott Bessent
$853 Hac.
16%
Marco Rubio
$3,134 Hac.
16%
Russell Vought
$134 Hac.
26%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump administration turnover has accelerated in recent weeks, with Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid performance concerns, acting ICE Director Todd Lyons announcing his resignation effective May 31 after overseeing mass deportations, and earlier DHS Secretary Kristi Noem fired in March over immigration enforcement criticisms. Brookings data shows 32% turnover among top Executive Office roles as of mid-April, driven by policy frictions, internal clashes like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's demands prompting senior Army resignations, and execution pressures. Traders weigh historical patterns of high personnel churn against midterm election dynamics and budget hearings, which could spur additional cabinet shifts before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Hacim
$982,558Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump administration turnover has accelerated in recent weeks, with Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid performance concerns, acting ICE Director Todd Lyons announcing his resignation effective May 31 after overseeing mass deportations, and earlier DHS Secretary Kristi Noem fired in March over immigration enforcement criticisms. Brookings data shows 32% turnover among top Executive Office roles as of mid-April, driven by policy frictions, internal clashes like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's demands prompting senior Army resignations, and execution pressures. Traders weigh historical patterns of high personnel churn against midterm election dynamics and budget hearings, which could spur additional cabinet shifts before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Hacim
$982,558Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration turnover has accelerated in recent weeks, with Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid performance concerns, acting ICE Director Todd Lyons announcing his resignation effective May 31 after overseeing mass deportations, and earlier DHS Secretary Kristi Noem fired in March over immigration enforcement criticisms. Brookings data shows 32% turnover among top Executive Office roles as of mid-April, driven by policy frictions, internal clashes like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's demands prompting senior Army resignations, and execution pressures. Traders weigh historical patterns of high personnel churn against midterm election dynamics and budget hearings, which could spur additional cabinet shifts before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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