Trader consensus heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at over 90% implied probability following credible reports of a private phone call with President Trump the day before the April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire announcement, amid efforts to stabilize the region. No confirmed verbal interactions have surfaced for other listed figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy (37%), Vladimir Putin (28%), or Xi Jinping (17%), reflecting limited public diplomacy on Ukraine or China amid focus on Middle East ceasefires and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump held a 40-minute call with India's Narendra Modi on April 15 discussing West Asia stability, though Modi is not a market outcome. With the market resolving April 30 based on consensus reporting of in-person, phone, or video talks from April 1, remaining days could see shifts via late-breaking diplomatic engagements or Iran negotiations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$207,245 Hac.
Muhammed bin Selman
89%
Volodimir Zelenskiy
32%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
39%
Vladimir Putin
26%
Elon Musk
23%
Ursula von der Leyen
22%
Xi Jinping
17%
Lula da Silva
15%
Maria Corina Machado
10%
Rıza Pehlevi
6%
Mesud Pezeşkiyan
5%
Nicolás Maduro
2%
Kim Jong Un
2%
Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$207,245 Hac.
Muhammed bin Selman
89%
Volodimir Zelenskiy
32%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
39%
Vladimir Putin
26%
Elon Musk
23%
Ursula von der Leyen
22%
Xi Jinping
17%
Lula da Silva
15%
Maria Corina Machado
10%
Rıza Pehlevi
6%
Mesud Pezeşkiyan
5%
Nicolás Maduro
2%
Kim Jong Un
2%
Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at over 90% implied probability following credible reports of a private phone call with President Trump the day before the April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire announcement, amid efforts to stabilize the region. No confirmed verbal interactions have surfaced for other listed figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy (37%), Vladimir Putin (28%), or Xi Jinping (17%), reflecting limited public diplomacy on Ukraine or China amid focus on Middle East ceasefires and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump held a 40-minute call with India's Narendra Modi on April 15 discussing West Asia stability, though Modi is not a market outcome. With the market resolving April 30 based on consensus reporting of in-person, phone, or video talks from April 1, remaining days could see shifts via late-breaking diplomatic engagements or Iran negotiations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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