Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability for an Apple iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and Bloomberg reporting from early April confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a foldable model in September 2026. This aligns with Apple's unbroken 19-year annual iPhone cadence since 2007, bolstered by recent analyst notes on A20 chip production and design prototypes entering testing. Competitive pressures in premium smartphones and historical September event patterns further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include potential staggered rollout delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027 amid foldable prioritization, supply chain disruptions, or unforeseen regulatory hurdles, though no such shifts have materialized. Watch WWDC 2026 for software previews signaling hardware readiness.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiApple, 2026 'da iPhone 18' i piyasaya sürecek mi?
Apple, 2026 'da iPhone 18' i piyasaya sürecek mi?
$85,138 Hac.
$85,138 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
$85,138 Hac.
$85,138 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability for an Apple iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and Bloomberg reporting from early April confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a foldable model in September 2026. This aligns with Apple's unbroken 19-year annual iPhone cadence since 2007, bolstered by recent analyst notes on A20 chip production and design prototypes entering testing. Competitive pressures in premium smartphones and historical September event patterns further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include potential staggered rollout delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027 amid foldable prioritization, supply chain disruptions, or unforeseen regulatory hurdles, though no such shifts have materialized. Watch WWDC 2026 for software previews signaling hardware readiness.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Hacim
$85,138Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability for an Apple iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and Bloomberg reporting from early April confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a foldable model in September 2026. This aligns with Apple's unbroken 19-year annual iPhone cadence since 2007, bolstered by recent analyst notes on A20 chip production and design prototypes entering testing. Competitive pressures in premium smartphones and historical September event patterns further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include potential staggered rollout delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027 amid foldable prioritization, supply chain disruptions, or unforeseen regulatory hurdles, though no such shifts have materialized. Watch WWDC 2026 for software previews signaling hardware readiness.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$85,138Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability for an Apple iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and Bloomberg reporting from early April confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a foldable model in September 2026. This aligns with Apple's unbroken 19-year annual iPhone cadence since 2007, bolstered by recent analyst notes on A20 chip production and design prototypes entering testing. Competitive pressures in premium smartphones and historical September event patterns further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include potential staggered rollout delays for the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027 amid foldable prioritization, supply chain disruptions, or unforeseen regulatory hurdles, though no such shifts have materialized. Watch WWDC 2026 for software previews signaling hardware readiness.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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