Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential military operations in Cuba, amid President Trump's maximum pressure campaign of tightened sanctions blocking Venezuelan and Russian oil imports, have heightened tensions as Havana grapples with blackouts and economic collapse. Cuba's alleged dispatch of up to 5,000 fighters to support Russia in Ukraine prompted U.S. congressional briefings, while bilateral talks continue—marked by prisoner releases as goodwill gestures. Traders price "No" at 76.5%, reflecting historical U.S. aversion to costly invasions absent direct threats, preference for economic coercion over airstrikes or ground actions, international backlash risks, and Trump's emphasis on negotiations or "other actions" short of full invasion through year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$1,410,212 Hac.
$1,410,212 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$1,410,212 Hac.
$1,410,212 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential military operations in Cuba, amid President Trump's maximum pressure campaign of tightened sanctions blocking Venezuelan and Russian oil imports, have heightened tensions as Havana grapples with blackouts and economic collapse. Cuba's alleged dispatch of up to 5,000 fighters to support Russia in Ukraine prompted U.S. congressional briefings, while bilateral talks continue—marked by prisoner releases as goodwill gestures. Traders price "No" at 76.5%, reflecting historical U.S. aversion to costly invasions absent direct threats, preference for economic coercion over airstrikes or ground actions, international backlash risks, and Trump's emphasis on negotiations or "other actions" short of full invasion through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Hacim
$1,410,212Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential military operations in Cuba, amid President Trump's maximum pressure campaign of tightened sanctions blocking Venezuelan and Russian oil imports, have heightened tensions as Havana grapples with blackouts and economic collapse. Cuba's alleged dispatch of up to 5,000 fighters to support Russia in Ukraine prompted U.S. congressional briefings, while bilateral talks continue—marked by prisoner releases as goodwill gestures. Traders price "No" at 76.5%, reflecting historical U.S. aversion to costly invasions absent direct threats, preference for economic coercion over airstrikes or ground actions, international backlash risks, and Trump's emphasis on negotiations or "other actions" short of full invasion through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Hacim
$1,410,212Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential military operations in Cuba, amid President Trump's maximum pressure campaign of tightened sanctions blocking Venezuelan and Russian oil imports, have heightened tensions as Havana grapples with blackouts and economic collapse. Cuba's alleged dispatch of up to 5,000 fighters to support Russia in Ukraine prompted U.S. congressional briefings, while bilateral talks continue—marked by prisoner releases as goodwill gestures. Traders price "No" at 76.5%, reflecting historical U.S. aversion to costly invasions absent direct threats, preference for economic coercion over airstrikes or ground actions, international backlash risks, and Trump's emphasis on negotiations or "other actions" short of full invasion through year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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