Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven by recent escalation in his Iran rhetoric—including threats of major offensive action—that prompted Democratic calls for removal and fresh articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson in early April 2026, alongside resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939. These developments coincide with reports of Trump's sagging approval ratings amid the unpopular Iran conflict, boosting expectations of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms, where a simple majority could approve articles despite Republican Senate control barring likely conviction. No House vote is imminent in the GOP-led 119th Congress, but historical precedent from Trump's two prior impeachments underscores trader bets on partisan dynamics shifting post-midterms.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTrump görev süresi sona ermeden azledilecek mi?
Trump görev süresi sona ermeden azledilecek mi?
Evet
$53,521 Hac.
$53,521 Hac.
20 Oca 2029
Evet
$53,521 Hac.
$53,521 Hac.
20 Oca 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven by recent escalation in his Iran rhetoric—including threats of major offensive action—that prompted Democratic calls for removal and fresh articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson in early April 2026, alongside resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939. These developments coincide with reports of Trump's sagging approval ratings amid the unpopular Iran conflict, boosting expectations of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms, where a simple majority could approve articles despite Republican Senate control barring likely conviction. No House vote is imminent in the GOP-led 119th Congress, but historical precedent from Trump's two prior impeachments underscores trader bets on partisan dynamics shifting post-midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Hacim
$53,521Bitiş Tarihi
20 Oca 2029Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven by recent escalation in his Iran rhetoric—including threats of major offensive action—that prompted Democratic calls for removal and fresh articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson in early April 2026, alongside resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939. These developments coincide with reports of Trump's sagging approval ratings amid the unpopular Iran conflict, boosting expectations of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms, where a simple majority could approve articles despite Republican Senate control barring likely conviction. No House vote is imminent in the GOP-led 119th Congress, but historical precedent from Trump's two prior impeachments underscores trader bets on partisan dynamics shifting post-midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Hacim
$53,521Bitiş Tarihi
20 Oca 2029Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven by recent escalation in his Iran rhetoric—including threats of major offensive action—that prompted Democratic calls for removal and fresh articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson in early April 2026, alongside resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939. These developments coincide with reports of Trump's sagging approval ratings amid the unpopular Iran conflict, boosting expectations of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms, where a simple majority could approve articles despite Republican Senate control barring likely conviction. No House vote is imminent in the GOP-led 119th Congress, but historical precedent from Trump's two prior impeachments underscores trader bets on partisan dynamics shifting post-midterms.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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