Despite President Trump's repeated pledges to reduce the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% or 20%, trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability against passage before 2027 due to the absence of advancing legislation. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, permanently extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions for individuals—including lower rates and enhanced deductions—but left the corporate rate unchanged amid concerns over rising deficits and debt ceiling pressures. Recent White House announcements on April 15, 2026, highlighted record tax refunds from existing cuts, while priorities shifted to no-tax policies on tips and Social Security benefits, tariffs, and small business relief. With slim Republican majorities in Congress and reconciliation constraints limiting scope, upcoming budget debates offer slim windows, but fiscal hawk opposition and competing spending needs reinforce skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$14,946 Hac.
$14,946 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$14,946 Hac.
$14,946 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Despite President Trump's repeated pledges to reduce the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% or 20%, trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability against passage before 2027 due to the absence of advancing legislation. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, permanently extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions for individuals—including lower rates and enhanced deductions—but left the corporate rate unchanged amid concerns over rising deficits and debt ceiling pressures. Recent White House announcements on April 15, 2026, highlighted record tax refunds from existing cuts, while priorities shifted to no-tax policies on tips and Social Security benefits, tariffs, and small business relief. With slim Republican majorities in Congress and reconciliation constraints limiting scope, upcoming budget debates offer slim windows, but fiscal hawk opposition and competing spending needs reinforce skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Hacim
$14,946Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Despite President Trump's repeated pledges to reduce the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% or 20%, trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability against passage before 2027 due to the absence of advancing legislation. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, permanently extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions for individuals—including lower rates and enhanced deductions—but left the corporate rate unchanged amid concerns over rising deficits and debt ceiling pressures. Recent White House announcements on April 15, 2026, highlighted record tax refunds from existing cuts, while priorities shifted to no-tax policies on tips and Social Security benefits, tariffs, and small business relief. With slim Republican majorities in Congress and reconciliation constraints limiting scope, upcoming budget debates offer slim windows, but fiscal hawk opposition and competing spending needs reinforce skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Hacim
$14,946Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite President Trump's repeated pledges to reduce the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% or 20%, trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability against passage before 2027 due to the absence of advancing legislation. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, permanently extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions for individuals—including lower rates and enhanced deductions—but left the corporate rate unchanged amid concerns over rising deficits and debt ceiling pressures. Recent White House announcements on April 15, 2026, highlighted record tax refunds from existing cuts, while priorities shifted to no-tax policies on tips and Social Security benefits, tariffs, and small business relief. With slim Republican majorities in Congress and reconciliation constraints limiting scope, upcoming budget debates offer slim windows, but fiscal hawk opposition and competing spending needs reinforce skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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