Recent polls, including Marquette's late March survey showing Francesca Hong at 14%, Mandela Barnes at 11%, and Sara Rodriguez at 3% among registered voters with over 65% undecided, underscore the fragmented Democratic primary field for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11 contest. Barnes holds a trader consensus edge due to his prior statewide experience as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate nominee, coupled with strong general election head-to-heads against likely Republican Tom Tiffany. Hong gains traction via progressive appeal and grassroots momentum, while Rodriguez draws from her current lieutenant governor role and visibility. High undecideds and a dozen candidates keep the race tight; endorsements from figures like Tony Evers, union backing, or fundraising surges could create separation as debates loom.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMandela Barnes 37%
Francesca Hong 29.2%
Sara Rodriguez 27%
Kelda Roys 2.3%
$49,393 Hac.
$49,393 Hac.
Mandela Barnes
37%
Francesca Hong
29%
Sara Rodriguez
27%
Kelda Roys
2%
David Crowley
2%
Chris Larson
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Mandela Barnes 37%
Francesca Hong 29.2%
Sara Rodriguez 27%
Kelda Roys 2.3%
$49,393 Hac.
$49,393 Hac.
Mandela Barnes
37%
Francesca Hong
29%
Sara Rodriguez
27%
Kelda Roys
2%
David Crowley
2%
Chris Larson
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Marquette's late March survey showing Francesca Hong at 14%, Mandela Barnes at 11%, and Sara Rodriguez at 3% among registered voters with over 65% undecided, underscore the fragmented Democratic primary field for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11 contest. Barnes holds a trader consensus edge due to his prior statewide experience as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate nominee, coupled with strong general election head-to-heads against likely Republican Tom Tiffany. Hong gains traction via progressive appeal and grassroots momentum, while Rodriguez draws from her current lieutenant governor role and visibility. High undecideds and a dozen candidates keep the race tight; endorsements from figures like Tony Evers, union backing, or fundraising surges could create separation as debates loom.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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