Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWyoming Governor Election Winner
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
5%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican
$4,359 Hac.
95%
Democrat
$1,590 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Hacim
$5,949Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$5,949Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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