Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history where no Democrat has won since 1976 and GOP candidates routinely exceed 60% in federal races. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement opened the field, but at-large Rep. Harriet Hageman quickly emerged as the frontrunner after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement and drawing Trump-aligned support from her 2022 primary rout of Liz Cheney. Democrats field weak challengers like ex-state Rep. James Byrd, with no competitive polling amid low turnout expectations in this safe Republican stronghold. Primary elections on August 18 could consolidate the GOP nominee, though late scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves remain slim upset risks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWyoming Senatosu Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Wyoming Senatosu Seçimlerinin Kazananı
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican
$5,922 Hac.
93%
Democrat
$2,187 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history where no Democrat has won since 1976 and GOP candidates routinely exceed 60% in federal races. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement opened the field, but at-large Rep. Harriet Hageman quickly emerged as the frontrunner after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement and drawing Trump-aligned support from her 2022 primary rout of Liz Cheney. Democrats field weak challengers like ex-state Rep. James Byrd, with no competitive polling amid low turnout expectations in this safe Republican stronghold. Primary elections on August 18 could consolidate the GOP nominee, though late scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves remain slim upset risks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Hacim
$8,110Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history where no Democrat has won since 1976 and GOP candidates routinely exceed 60% in federal races. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement opened the field, but at-large Rep. Harriet Hageman quickly emerged as the frontrunner after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement and drawing Trump-aligned support from her 2022 primary rout of Liz Cheney. Democrats field weak challengers like ex-state Rep. James Byrd, with no competitive polling amid low turnout expectations in this safe Republican stronghold. Primary elections on August 18 could consolidate the GOP nominee, though late scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves remain slim upset risks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$8,110Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history where no Democrat has won since 1976 and GOP candidates routinely exceed 60% in federal races. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement opened the field, but at-large Rep. Harriet Hageman quickly emerged as the frontrunner after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement and drawing Trump-aligned support from her 2022 primary rout of Liz Cheney. Democrats field weak challengers like ex-state Rep. James Byrd, with no competitive polling amid low turnout expectations in this safe Republican stronghold. Primary elections on August 18 could consolidate the GOP nominee, though late scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves remain slim upset risks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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