Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Обс.
$57,233 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Обс.
$57,233 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
$20,308 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$8,283 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,610 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,396 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,425 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,356 Обс.
No
32°C
$2,857 Обс.
No
33°C
$2,241 Обс.
No
34°C
$2,390 Обс.
No
35°C
$1,854 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$1,513 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,233Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$57,233Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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