Market-implied odds centering on 30°C as the leading outcome reflect current consensus from regional forecast models for a daily maximum near that threshold in Tel Aviv on September 19. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 29–31°C, with recent model runs indicating moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that could cap peaks slightly below the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will be key resolution inputs, as small shifts in timing or marine influence can alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
30°C 56%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
56%
31°C
24%
32°C
18%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 56%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
27°C or below
$59 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$0 Обс.
19%
30°C
$88 Обс.
56%
31°C
$8 Обс.
24%
32°C
$0 Обс.
18%
33°C
$0 Обс.
2%
34°C
$31 Обс.
1%
35°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$103 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds centering on 30°C as the leading outcome reflect current consensus from regional forecast models for a daily maximum near that threshold in Tel Aviv on September 19. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 29–31°C, with recent model runs indicating moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that could cap peaks slightly below the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will be key resolution inputs, as small shifts in timing or marine influence can alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$494Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds centering on 30°C as the leading outcome reflect current consensus from regional forecast models for a daily maximum near that threshold in Tel Aviv on September 19. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 29–31°C, with recent model runs indicating moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that could cap peaks slightly below the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will be key resolution inputs, as small shifts in timing or marine influence can alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$494Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds centering on 30°C as the leading outcome reflect current consensus from regional forecast models for a daily maximum near that threshold in Tel Aviv on September 19. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 29–31°C, with recent model runs indicating moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that could cap peaks slightly below the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will be key resolution inputs, as small shifts in timing or marine influence can alter the observed high by 1–2°C. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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