Latest forecast models from the GFS and Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by moderating westerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This follows several days of above-normal heat exceeding 33°C, with the expected cooling and higher humidity limiting peak temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 29–31°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C at 59% and 31°C at 30.5%. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, where even modest shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the outcome between these leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
30°C 67%
31°C 24%
29°C 6%
27°C or below 2.3%
НОВЕ
$15,569 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,569 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
67%
31°C
24%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 67%
31°C 24%
29°C 6%
27°C or below 2.3%
НОВЕ
$15,569 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,569 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
$559 Обс.
2%
28°C
$274 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,752 Обс.
6%
30°C
$5,471 Обс.
67%
31°C
$4,061 Обс.
24%
32°C
$1,497 Обс.
1%
33°C
$144 Обс.
1%
34°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,520 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$119 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$119 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the GFS and Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by moderating westerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This follows several days of above-normal heat exceeding 33°C, with the expected cooling and higher humidity limiting peak temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 29–31°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C at 59% and 31°C at 30.5%. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, where even modest shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the outcome between these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,569Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the GFS and Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by moderating westerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This follows several days of above-normal heat exceeding 33°C, with the expected cooling and higher humidity limiting peak temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 29–31°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C at 59% and 31°C at 30.5%. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, where even modest shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the outcome between these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,569Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the GFS and Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by moderating westerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This follows several days of above-normal heat exceeding 33°C, with the expected cooling and higher humidity limiting peak temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 29–31°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C at 59% and 31°C at 30.5%. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, where even modest shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the outcome between these leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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