Current forecast models converge on an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by persistent westerly flow off the Mediterranean that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing light showers and elevated humidity. These conditions reduce the temperature drop after sunset compared with clear, drier nights typical for mid-September. Trader positioning around 26°C at the highest implied probability reflects this consensus, with the notable share on 30°C or higher capturing upside risk if cloud cover or advection keeps readings elevated. Lower outcomes such as 24°C or below would require stronger clearing and reduced moisture to enhance heat loss, a scenario supported by fewer model runs at this lead time. Updated high-resolution guidance and local observations through the evening will refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
30°C or higher 60%
27°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
36%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
60%
30°C or higher 60%
27°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$69 Обс.
20%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
21%
25°C
$22 Обс.
18%
26°C
$0 Обс.
36%
27°C
$0 Обс.
40%
28°C
$0 Обс.
39%
29°C
$0 Обс.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models converge on an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by persistent westerly flow off the Mediterranean that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing light showers and elevated humidity. These conditions reduce the temperature drop after sunset compared with clear, drier nights typical for mid-September. Trader positioning around 26°C at the highest implied probability reflects this consensus, with the notable share on 30°C or higher capturing upside risk if cloud cover or advection keeps readings elevated. Lower outcomes such as 24°C or below would require stronger clearing and reduced moisture to enhance heat loss, a scenario supported by fewer model runs at this lead time. Updated high-resolution guidance and local observations through the evening will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$91Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models converge on an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by persistent westerly flow off the Mediterranean that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing light showers and elevated humidity. These conditions reduce the temperature drop after sunset compared with clear, drier nights typical for mid-September. Trader positioning around 26°C at the highest implied probability reflects this consensus, with the notable share on 30°C or higher capturing upside risk if cloud cover or advection keeps readings elevated. Lower outcomes such as 24°C or below would require stronger clearing and reduced moisture to enhance heat loss, a scenario supported by fewer model runs at this lead time. Updated high-resolution guidance and local observations through the evening will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$91Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models converge on an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by persistent westerly flow off the Mediterranean that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing light showers and elevated humidity. These conditions reduce the temperature drop after sunset compared with clear, drier nights typical for mid-September. Trader positioning around 26°C at the highest implied probability reflects this consensus, with the notable share on 30°C or higher capturing upside risk if cloud cover or advection keeps readings elevated. Lower outcomes such as 24°C or below would require stronger clearing and reduced moisture to enhance heat loss, a scenario supported by fewer model runs at this lead time. Updated high-resolution guidance and local observations through the evening will refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання