**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 Обс.
$5,449 Обс.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 Обс.
$5,449 Обс.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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