Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 Обс.
$147,819 Обс.
May 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 Обс.
$147,819 Обс.
May 8, 2026
18°C or below
$4,018 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,406 Обс.
No
20°C
$9,785 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,436 Обс.
No
22°C
$3,872 Обс.
No
23°C
$31,968 Обс.
No
24°C
$18,593 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$54,290 Обс.
No
26°C
$7,159 Обс.
No
27°C
$7,968 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$3,324 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$147,819Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$147,819Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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