**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, 2026 (84% implied probability), with 24°C a distant second at 11.5%.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows holding near or just above 24–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (often 80–90%), and light winds that limit radiative cooling. In late August, Seoul’s climatological average minimum is approximately 23°C, but current conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cold advection, and urban heat retention around Incheon International Airport—support a slightly elevated floor. Forecasts from sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and PredictWind consistently indicate the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours around 24–25°C, with daytime highs near 28–29°C. The small probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect residual model spread and the slim chance of clearer skies enhancing cooling, while outcomes above 25°C carry negligible weight given the absence of strong warming mechanisms overnight. As the day progresses, any final model updates or observational data confirming the overnight minimum will drive the remaining market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 84%
24°C 12%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
84%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 84%
24°C 12%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$274 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$274 Обс.
1%
21°C
$417 Обс.
1%
22°C
$343 Обс.
2%
23°C
$468 Обс.
3%
24°C
$436 Обс.
12%
25°C
$2,094 Обс.
84%
26°C
$1,594 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$188 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$183 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$183 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, 2026 (84% implied probability), with 24°C a distant second at 11.5%.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows holding near or just above 24–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (often 80–90%), and light winds that limit radiative cooling. In late August, Seoul’s climatological average minimum is approximately 23°C, but current conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cold advection, and urban heat retention around Incheon International Airport—support a slightly elevated floor.
Forecasts from sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and PredictWind consistently indicate the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours around 24–25°C, with daytime highs near 28–29°C. The small probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect residual model spread and the slim chance of clearer skies enhancing cooling, while outcomes above 25°C carry negligible weight given the absence of strong warming mechanisms overnight. As the day progresses, any final model updates or observational data confirming the overnight minimum will drive the remaining market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,454Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, 2026 (84% implied probability), with 24°C a distant second at 11.5%.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows holding near or just above 24–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (often 80–90%), and light winds that limit radiative cooling. In late August, Seoul’s climatological average minimum is approximately 23°C, but current conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cold advection, and urban heat retention around Incheon International Airport—support a slightly elevated floor.
Forecasts from sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and PredictWind consistently indicate the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours around 24–25°C, with daytime highs near 28–29°C. The small probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect residual model spread and the slim chance of clearer skies enhancing cooling, while outcomes above 25°C carry negligible weight given the absence of strong warming mechanisms overnight. As the day progresses, any final model updates or observational data confirming the overnight minimum will drive the remaining market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,454Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, 2026 (84% implied probability), with 24°C a distant second at 11.5%.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows holding near or just above 24–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (often 80–90%), and light winds that limit radiative cooling. In late August, Seoul’s climatological average minimum is approximately 23°C, but current conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cold advection, and urban heat retention around Incheon International Airport—support a slightly elevated floor. Forecasts from sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and PredictWind consistently indicate the lowest readings occurring in the pre-dawn hours around 24–25°C, with daytime highs near 28–29°C. The small probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect residual model spread and the slim chance of clearer skies enhancing cooling, while outcomes above 25°C carry negligible weight given the absence of strong warming mechanisms overnight. As the day progresses, any final model updates or observational data confirming the overnight minimum will drive the remaining market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання