Wyoming's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests and Donald Trump's 45-point 2024 victory, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman. As the open-seat nominee succeeding retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with nearly 65% of the vote after receiving President Trump's endorsement and building on her decisive 2022 House primary win. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no general election polls have emerged to indicate movement as of mid-September.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,839 Обс.
$16,839 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,839 Обс.
$16,839 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,184 Обс.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests and Donald Trump's 45-point 2024 victory, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman. As the open-seat nominee succeeding retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with nearly 65% of the vote after receiving President Trump's endorsement and building on her decisive 2022 House primary win. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no general election polls have emerged to indicate movement as of mid-September.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,839Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests and Donald Trump's 45-point 2024 victory, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman. As the open-seat nominee succeeding retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with nearly 65% of the vote after receiving President Trump's endorsement and building on her decisive 2022 House primary win. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no general election polls have emerged to indicate movement as of mid-September.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$16,839Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests and Donald Trump's 45-point 2024 victory, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman. As the open-seat nominee succeeding retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with nearly 65% of the vote after receiving President Trump's endorsement and building on her decisive 2022 House primary win. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no general election polls have emerged to indicate movement as of mid-September.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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