Wyoming's open Senate seat, created by incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis's retirement, features a Republican primary dominated by U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who carries endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 vote. The state's partisan composition, consistent Republican Senate control since 1977, and absence of any Democratic victory since 1970 underpin trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical margins and low Democratic infrastructure. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide recognition. A major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers in this low-population, reliably Republican state make such shifts improbable before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$10,519 Обс.
$10,519 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
6%
$10,519 Обс.
$10,519 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,951 Обс.
95%
Democrat
$3,569 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open Senate seat, created by incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis's retirement, features a Republican primary dominated by U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who carries endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 vote. The state's partisan composition, consistent Republican Senate control since 1977, and absence of any Democratic victory since 1970 underpin trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical margins and low Democratic infrastructure. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide recognition. A major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers in this low-population, reliably Republican state make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,519Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open Senate seat, created by incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis's retirement, features a Republican primary dominated by U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who carries endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 vote. The state's partisan composition, consistent Republican Senate control since 1977, and absence of any Democratic victory since 1970 underpin trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical margins and low Democratic infrastructure. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide recognition. A major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers in this low-population, reliably Republican state make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$10,519Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open Senate seat, created by incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis's retirement, features a Republican primary dominated by U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who carries endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 vote. The state's partisan composition, consistent Republican Senate control since 1977, and absence of any Democratic victory since 1970 underpin trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican based on historical margins and low Democratic infrastructure. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with limited statewide recognition. A major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers in this low-population, reliably Republican state make such shifts improbable before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання