PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on April 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 29?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 KL.
$43,646 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 KL.
$43,646 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
$1,149 KL.
No
31°C
$1,191 KL.
No
32°C
$2,807 KL.
No
33°C
$2,724 KL.
No
34°C
$3,882 KL.
No
35°C
$1,710 KL.
No
36°C
$6,589 KL.
No
37°C
$8,962 KL.
Yes
38°C
$7,446 KL.
No
39°C
$1,940 KL.
No
40°C or higher
$5,247 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,646Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$43,646Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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