Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 15 near 18–19°C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup stems from a broad high-pressure ridge with weak southerly flow ahead of an approaching front, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around the 19–20°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with slight upward revisions possible if clearer breaks develop. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
20°C 41%
19°C 36%
21°C 16%
22°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
36%
20°C
41%
21°C
16%
22°C
13%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 41%
19°C 36%
21°C 16%
22°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
$10 KL.
2%
16°C
$10 KL.
3%
17°C
$103 KL.
5%
18°C
$95 KL.
11%
19°C
$104 KL.
36%
20°C
$41 KL.
41%
21°C
$45 KL.
16%
22°C
$20 KL.
13%
23°C
$18 KL.
3%
24°C
$10 KL.
1%
25°C or higher
$1 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 15 near 18–19°C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup stems from a broad high-pressure ridge with weak southerly flow ahead of an approaching front, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around the 19–20°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with slight upward revisions possible if clearer breaks develop. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$457Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 15 near 18–19°C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup stems from a broad high-pressure ridge with weak southerly flow ahead of an approaching front, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around the 19–20°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with slight upward revisions possible if clearer breaks develop. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$457Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 15 near 18–19°C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup stems from a broad high-pressure ridge with weak southerly flow ahead of an approaching front, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around the 19–20°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with slight upward revisions possible if clearer breaks develop. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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