Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 14, with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 12–14°C limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 13–15°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 12°C and 13°C outcomes because these align with the latest guidance showing overcast conditions suppressing the typical 5–8°C diurnal drop from afternoon highs near 19–20°C. The 19°C-or-higher probability reflects residual model spread if skies clear earlier than expected. Historical September norms place average lows near 10°C, but current atmospheric stability and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities elevated for the mid-teens range. Updated model cycles and evening observations will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
19°C or higher 69%
16°C 40%
12°C 28%
13°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
18%
11°C
9%
12°C
28%
13°C
26%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C
17%
19°C or higher
69%
19°C or higher 69%
16°C 40%
12°C 28%
13°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$125 KL.
1%
10°C
$40 KL.
18%
11°C
$76 KL.
9%
12°C
$0 KL.
28%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$109 KL.
8%
15°C
$187 KL.
5%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
18%
18°C
$0 KL.
17%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 14, with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 12–14°C limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 13–15°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 12°C and 13°C outcomes because these align with the latest guidance showing overcast conditions suppressing the typical 5–8°C diurnal drop from afternoon highs near 19–20°C. The 19°C-or-higher probability reflects residual model spread if skies clear earlier than expected. Historical September norms place average lows near 10°C, but current atmospheric stability and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities elevated for the mid-teens range. Updated model cycles and evening observations will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$538Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 14, with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 12–14°C limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 13–15°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 12°C and 13°C outcomes because these align with the latest guidance showing overcast conditions suppressing the typical 5–8°C diurnal drop from afternoon highs near 19–20°C. The 19°C-or-higher probability reflects residual model spread if skies clear earlier than expected. Historical September norms place average lows near 10°C, but current atmospheric stability and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities elevated for the mid-teens range. Updated model cycles and evening observations will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$538Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 14, with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 12–14°C limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 13–15°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 12°C and 13°C outcomes because these align with the latest guidance showing overcast conditions suppressing the typical 5–8°C diurnal drop from afternoon highs near 19–20°C. The 19°C-or-higher probability reflects residual model spread if skies clear earlier than expected. Historical September norms place average lows near 10°C, but current atmospheric stability and lack of cold-air advection keep probabilities elevated for the mid-teens range. Updated model cycles and evening observations will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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