A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 14?
10°C or below 79%
12°C 40%
18°C 40%
14°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
79%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
40%
19°C
18%
20°C or higher
1%
10°C or below 79%
12°C 40%
18°C 40%
14°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
79%
11°C
$0 KL.
18%
12°C
$0 KL.
40%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C
$0 KL.
27%
15°C
$206 KL.
22%
16°C
$0 KL.
22%
17°C
$0 KL.
8%
18°C
$0 KL.
40%
19°C
$0 KL.
18%
20°C or higher
$40 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$246Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$246Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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