**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover and rainfall are the main factors keeping Manila's minimum temperature on September 10 tightly clustered around 23–24°C, which together hold over 95% of the market-implied probability.** Official PAGASA observations through mid-afternoon on September 10 recorded a low of 24.5°C, consistent with multiple forecast models showing overnight lows near 24–26°C (77–79°F) amid overcast skies, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and light southwesterly winds. High humidity (often 85–95%) and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops, while the active monsoon trough and nearby low-pressure influences sustain these moderated conditions without introducing cooler air masses. Historical September baselines for Metro Manila show typical daily minima of 24–26°C during the rainy season, and current model consensus aligns closely with this pattern. With the day’s resolution window now closing, traders have converged on the 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable given the absence of any significant deviation in recent observational data or forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
23°C 42%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
42%
24°C
54%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$65 KL.
1%
21°C
$107 KL.
1%
22°C
$50 KL.
1%
23°C
$37 KL.
42%
24°C
$26 KL.
54%
25°C
$1,114 KL.
<1%
26°C
$73 KL.
<1%
27°C
$75 KL.
<1%
28°C
$15 KL.
<1%
29°C
$15 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$40 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover and rainfall are the main factors keeping Manila's minimum temperature on September 10 tightly clustered around 23–24°C, which together hold over 95% of the market-implied probability.**
Official PAGASA observations through mid-afternoon on September 10 recorded a low of 24.5°C, consistent with multiple forecast models showing overnight lows near 24–26°C (77–79°F) amid overcast skies, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and light southwesterly winds. High humidity (often 85–95%) and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops, while the active monsoon trough and nearby low-pressure influences sustain these moderated conditions without introducing cooler air masses.
Historical September baselines for Metro Manila show typical daily minima of 24–26°C during the rainy season, and current model consensus aligns closely with this pattern. With the day’s resolution window now closing, traders have converged on the 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable given the absence of any significant deviation in recent observational data or forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,617Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover and rainfall are the main factors keeping Manila's minimum temperature on September 10 tightly clustered around 23–24°C, which together hold over 95% of the market-implied probability.**
Official PAGASA observations through mid-afternoon on September 10 recorded a low of 24.5°C, consistent with multiple forecast models showing overnight lows near 24–26°C (77–79°F) amid overcast skies, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and light southwesterly winds. High humidity (often 85–95%) and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops, while the active monsoon trough and nearby low-pressure influences sustain these moderated conditions without introducing cooler air masses.
Historical September baselines for Metro Manila show typical daily minima of 24–26°C during the rainy season, and current model consensus aligns closely with this pattern. With the day’s resolution window now closing, traders have converged on the 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable given the absence of any significant deviation in recent observational data or forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,617Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover and rainfall are the main factors keeping Manila's minimum temperature on September 10 tightly clustered around 23–24°C, which together hold over 95% of the market-implied probability.** Official PAGASA observations through mid-afternoon on September 10 recorded a low of 24.5°C, consistent with multiple forecast models showing overnight lows near 24–26°C (77–79°F) amid overcast skies, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and light southwesterly winds. High humidity (often 85–95%) and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops, while the active monsoon trough and nearby low-pressure influences sustain these moderated conditions without introducing cooler air masses. Historical September baselines for Metro Manila show typical daily minima of 24–26°C during the rainy season, and current model consensus aligns closely with this pattern. With the day’s resolution window now closing, traders have converged on the 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable given the absence of any significant deviation in recent observational data or forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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