**Trader consensus in the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on 23–24°C for September 22, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of scattered showers and a projected overnight low near 22–23°C.** Late-September climatology shows average lows declining from ~23°C in mid-month toward 20–21°C by month-end, with recent heavy rainfall on September 20–21 helping moderate daytime heat and limit radiational cooling overnight. Model guidance indicates persistent cloud cover and weak southerly flow will keep temperatures from dropping sharply, supporting the elevated probabilities for the 23–24°C outcomes over cooler historical analogs. Updated JMA and ensemble runs through the 22nd will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
24°C 47%
23°C 31%
21°C 14%
22°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 47%
23°C 31%
21°C 14%
22°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
19°C
$86 KL.
1%
20°C
$120 KL.
4%
21°C
$170 KL.
8%
22°C
$465 KL.
9%
23°C
$689 KL.
31%
24°C
$933 KL.
47%
25°C
$271 KL.
5%
26°C
$213 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on 23–24°C for September 22, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of scattered showers and a projected overnight low near 22–23°C.** Late-September climatology shows average lows declining from ~23°C in mid-month toward 20–21°C by month-end, with recent heavy rainfall on September 20–21 helping moderate daytime heat and limit radiational cooling overnight. Model guidance indicates persistent cloud cover and weak southerly flow will keep temperatures from dropping sharply, supporting the elevated probabilities for the 23–24°C outcomes over cooler historical analogs. Updated JMA and ensemble runs through the 22nd will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,946Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on 23–24°C for September 22, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of scattered showers and a projected overnight low near 22–23°C.** Late-September climatology shows average lows declining from ~23°C in mid-month toward 20–21°C by month-end, with recent heavy rainfall on September 20–21 helping moderate daytime heat and limit radiational cooling overnight. Model guidance indicates persistent cloud cover and weak southerly flow will keep temperatures from dropping sharply, supporting the elevated probabilities for the 23–24°C outcomes over cooler historical analogs. Updated JMA and ensemble runs through the 22nd will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,946Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on 23–24°C for September 22, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of scattered showers and a projected overnight low near 22–23°C.** Late-September climatology shows average lows declining from ~23°C in mid-month toward 20–21°C by month-end, with recent heavy rainfall on September 20–21 helping moderate daytime heat and limit radiational cooling overnight. Model guidance indicates persistent cloud cover and weak southerly flow will keep temperatures from dropping sharply, supporting the elevated probabilities for the 23–24°C outcomes over cooler historical analogs. Updated JMA and ensemble runs through the 22nd will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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