OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently achieved the first “Major Advance” classification on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark by solving a long-standing open problem in combinatorial social choice, with the model also saturating Tier 4 at 97.6% and contributing to solutions for over 100 research-level problems. These verified results, alongside independent AI-assisted proofs on other open conjectures, have shifted trader focus toward Epoch AI’s Open Problems list, where two items were already marked solved at market creation. Competitive pressure from Claude models and Google DeepMind’s ongoing work adds momentum, while upcoming model iterations and Epoch’s next classification updates through December 31 represent the key near-term catalysts that could confirm an additional solved problem under the market’s resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-10-15
10月15日
47%
10月31日
69%
$80 交易量
10月15日
$0 交易量
47%
10月31日
$80 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently achieved the first “Major Advance” classification on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark by solving a long-standing open problem in combinatorial social choice, with the model also saturating Tier 4 at 97.6% and contributing to solutions for over 100 research-level problems. These verified results, alongside independent AI-assisted proofs on other open conjectures, have shifted trader focus toward Epoch AI’s Open Problems list, where two items were already marked solved at market creation. Competitive pressure from Claude models and Google DeepMind’s ongoing work adds momentum, while upcoming model iterations and Epoch’s next classification updates through December 31 represent the key near-term catalysts that could confirm an additional solved problem under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$80結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently achieved the first “Major Advance” classification on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark by solving a long-standing open problem in combinatorial social choice, with the model also saturating Tier 4 at 97.6% and contributing to solutions for over 100 research-level problems. These verified results, alongside independent AI-assisted proofs on other open conjectures, have shifted trader focus toward Epoch AI’s Open Problems list, where two items were already marked solved at market creation. Competitive pressure from Claude models and Google DeepMind’s ongoing work adds momentum, while upcoming model iterations and Epoch’s next classification updates through December 31 represent the key near-term catalysts that could confirm an additional solved problem under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
交易量
$80結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 4:04 PM ETOpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently achieved the first “Major Advance” classification on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark by solving a long-standing open problem in combinatorial social choice, with the model also saturating Tier 4 at 97.6% and contributing to solutions for over 100 research-level problems. These verified results, alongside independent AI-assisted proofs on other open conjectures, have shifted trader focus toward Epoch AI’s Open Problems list, where two items were already marked solved at market creation. Competitive pressure from Claude models and Google DeepMind’s ongoing work adds momentum, while upcoming model iterations and Epoch’s next classification updates through December 31 represent the key near-term catalysts that could confirm an additional solved problem under the market’s resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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