Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$91,279 交易量
$91,279 交易量
2026-04-24
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$91,279 交易量
$91,279 交易量
2026-04-24
10°C or below
$13,132 交易量
No
11°C
$7,034 交易量
No
12°C
$5,252 交易量
No
13°C
$8,646 交易量
No
14°C
$10,539 交易量
No
15°C
$12,242 交易量
Yes
16°C
$8,674 交易量
No
17°C
$11,049 交易量
No
18°C
$8,120 交易量
No
19°C
$4,742 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$1,850 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$91,279結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$91,279結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions