Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
7月22日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$55,593 交易量
$55,593 交易量
2026-07-22
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$55,593 交易量
$55,593 交易量
2026-07-22
15°C or below
$1,718 交易量
No
16°C
$1,300 交易量
No
17°C
$3,947 交易量
No
18°C
$8,298 交易量
No
19°C
$10,490 交易量
No
20°C
$14,670 交易量
Yes
21°C
$7,806 交易量
No
22°C
$3,859 交易量
No
23°C
$2,009 交易量
No
24°C
$628 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$867 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$55,593結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,593結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions