Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
7月7日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 交易量
$64,141 交易量
2026-07-07
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 交易量
$64,141 交易量
2026-07-07
18°C或以下
$876 交易量
否
19°C
$2,503 交易量
否
20°C
$2,950 交易量
否
21°C
$5,119 交易量
否
22°C
$11,628 交易量
否
23°C
$11,651 交易量
是
24°C
$8,543 交易量
否
25°C
$7,627 交易量
否
26°C
$5,643 交易量
否
27°C
$4,577 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$3,023 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$64,141結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$64,141結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions