Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high near 25°C in Ankara on September 15 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds, positioning this outcome as the clear market leader. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day shifts in temperature guidance, with highs clustered between 23–26°C across sources and no incoming fronts or anomalous warmth expected to alter the range. Ankara’s continental climate in mid-September typically features these mild late-summer conditions, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the central outcomes. Traders will watch final model updates and any last-hour observational adjustments for potential small revisions before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日安卡拉的最高溫度?
25°C 66%
24°C 18%
26°C 16%
23°C 3%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
66%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
25°C 66%
24°C 18%
26°C 16%
23°C 3%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
66%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high near 25°C in Ankara on September 15 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds, positioning this outcome as the clear market leader. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day shifts in temperature guidance, with highs clustered between 23–26°C across sources and no incoming fronts or anomalous warmth expected to alter the range. Ankara’s continental climate in mid-September typically features these mild late-summer conditions, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the central outcomes. Traders will watch final model updates and any last-hour observational adjustments for potential small revisions before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions