A strong high-pressure ridge dominating South-Central Texas has sustained hot, dry conditions, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Wednesday high near 102–103°F in Austin. Mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow allow efficient daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 100–101°F and 104–105°F bins capture minor model spread around the central forecast. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 95–99°F, so the current pattern reflects above-normal warmth driven by the persistent ridge rather than a transient spike. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening remain consistent, with limited upside risk absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月19日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
華氏102-103度 56%
100-101°F 24%
104-105°F 16%
98-99°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
93°F或以下
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
24%
華氏102-103度
56%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
華氏112度或更高
<1%
華氏102-103度 56%
100-101°F 24%
104-105°F 16%
98-99°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
93°F或以下
$277 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$217 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$179 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$123 交易量
4%
100-101°F
$326 交易量
24%
華氏102-103度
$421 交易量
56%
104-105°F
$108 交易量
16%
106-107°F
$122 交易量
3%
108-109°F
$92 交易量
1%
110-111°F
$150 交易量
<1%
華氏112度或更高
$290 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure ridge dominating South-Central Texas has sustained hot, dry conditions, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Wednesday high near 102–103°F in Austin. Mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow allow efficient daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 100–101°F and 104–105°F bins capture minor model spread around the central forecast. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 95–99°F, so the current pattern reflects above-normal warmth driven by the persistent ridge rather than a transient spike. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening remain consistent, with limited upside risk absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,305結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure ridge dominating South-Central Texas has sustained hot, dry conditions, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Wednesday high near 102–103°F in Austin. Mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow allow efficient daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 100–101°F and 104–105°F bins capture minor model spread around the central forecast. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 95–99°F, so the current pattern reflects above-normal warmth driven by the persistent ridge rather than a transient spike. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening remain consistent, with limited upside risk absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,305結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETA strong high-pressure ridge dominating South-Central Texas has sustained hot, dry conditions, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Wednesday high near 102–103°F in Austin. Mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow allow efficient daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 100–101°F and 104–105°F bins capture minor model spread around the central forecast. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 95–99°F, so the current pattern reflects above-normal warmth driven by the persistent ridge rather than a transient spike. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening remain consistent, with limited upside risk absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions