Official meteorological observations from South African weather stations recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C in Cape Town on May 23, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with typical late-autumn conditions in the region, where May averages hover around 18–20°C under the influence of the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that moderate daytime highs. Model guidance and real-time station data showed no significant warming anomalies or heat advection from the interior. While post-event data revisions or differences between official stations remain theoretically possible, historical consistency in reporting makes such shifts extremely rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 23?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,134 交易量
$29,134 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,134 交易量
$29,134 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 21, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from South African weather stations recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C in Cape Town on May 23, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with typical late-autumn conditions in the region, where May averages hover around 18–20°C under the influence of the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that moderate daytime highs. Model guidance and real-time station data showed no significant warming anomalies or heat advection from the interior. While post-event data revisions or differences between official stations remain theoretically possible, historical consistency in reporting makes such shifts extremely rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions